io.ssc.trackthetrackers.analysis.stats.LogLikelihood.java Source code

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/**
 * Licensed to the Apache Software Foundation (ASF) under one or more
 * contributor license agreements.  See the NOTICE file distributed with
 * this work for additional information regarding copyright ownership.
 * The ASF licenses this file to You under the Apache License, Version 2.0
 * (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with
 * the License.  You may obtain a copy of the License at
 *
 *     http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
 *
 * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
 * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
 * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
 * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
 * limitations under the License.
 */

package io.ssc.trackthetrackers.analysis.stats;

import com.google.common.base.Preconditions;
import com.google.common.collect.Multiset;
import com.google.common.collect.Ordering;

import java.util.ArrayList;
import java.util.Collections;
import java.util.List;
import java.util.PriorityQueue;
import java.util.Queue;

/**
 * Utility methods for working with log-likelihood
 */
public final class LogLikelihood {

    private LogLikelihood() {
    }

    /**
     * Calculates the unnormalized Shannon entropy.  This is
     *
     * -sum x_i log x_i / N = -N sum x_i/N log x_i/N
     *
     * where N = sum x_i
     *
     * If the x's sum to 1, then this is the same as the normal
     * expression.  Leaving this un-normalized makes working with
     * counts and computing the LLR easier.
     *
     * @return The entropy value for the elements
     */
    public static double entropy(long... elements) {
        long sum = 0;
        double result = 0.0;
        for (long element : elements) {
            Preconditions.checkArgument(element >= 0);
            result += xLogX(element);
            sum += element;
        }
        return xLogX(sum) - result;
    }

    private static double xLogX(long x) {
        return x == 0 ? 0.0 : x * Math.log(x);
    }

    /**
     * Merely an optimization for the common two argument case of {@link #entropy(long...)}
     * @see #logLikelihoodRatio(long, long, long, long)
     */
    private static double entropy(long a, long b) {
        return xLogX(a + b) - xLogX(a) - xLogX(b);
    }

    /**
     * Merely an optimization for the common four argument case of {@link #entropy(long...)}
     * @see #logLikelihoodRatio(long, long, long, long)
     */
    private static double entropy(long a, long b, long c, long d) {
        return xLogX(a + b + c + d) - xLogX(a) - xLogX(b) - xLogX(c) - xLogX(d);
    }

    /**
     * Calculates the Raw Log-likelihood ratio for two events, call them A and B.  Then we have:
     * <p/>
     * <table border="1" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0">
     * <tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;</td><td>Event A</td><td>Everything but A</td></tr>
     * <tr><td>Event B</td><td>A and B together (k_11)</td><td>B, but not A (k_12)</td></tr>
     * <tr><td>Everything but B</td><td>A without B (k_21)</td><td>Neither A nor B (k_22)</td></tr></tbody>
     * </table>
     *
     * @param k11 The number of times the two events occurred together
     * @param k12 The number of times the second event occurred WITHOUT the first event
     * @param k21 The number of times the first event occurred WITHOUT the second event
     * @param k22 The number of times something else occurred (i.e. was neither of these events
     * @return The raw log-likelihood ratio
     *
     * <p/>
     * Credit to http://tdunning.blogspot.com/2008/03/surprise-and-coincidence.html for the table and the descriptions.
     */
    public static double logLikelihoodRatio(long k11, long k12, long k21, long k22) {
        Preconditions.checkArgument(k11 >= 0 && k12 >= 0 && k21 >= 0 && k22 >= 0);
        // note that we have counts here, not probabilities, and that the entropy is not normalized.
        double rowEntropy = entropy(k11 + k12, k21 + k22);
        double columnEntropy = entropy(k11 + k21, k12 + k22);
        double matrixEntropy = entropy(k11, k12, k21, k22);
        if (rowEntropy + columnEntropy < matrixEntropy) {
            // round off error
            return 0.0;
        }
        return 2.0 * (rowEntropy + columnEntropy - matrixEntropy);
    }

    /** 
     * Calculates the root log-likelihood ratio for two events.
     * See {@link #logLikelihoodRatio(long, long, long, long)}.
        
     * @param k11 The number of times the two events occurred together
     * @param k12 The number of times the second event occurred WITHOUT the first event
     * @param k21 The number of times the first event occurred WITHOUT the second event
     * @param k22 The number of times something else occurred (i.e. was neither of these events
     * @return The root log-likelihood ratio
     * 
     * <p/>
     * There is some more discussion here: http://s.apache.org/CGL
     *
     * And see the response to Wataru's comment here:
     * http://tdunning.blogspot.com/2008/03/surprise-and-coincidence.html
     */
    public static double rootLogLikelihoodRatio(long k11, long k12, long k21, long k22) {
        double llr = logLikelihoodRatio(k11, k12, k21, k22);
        double sqrt = Math.sqrt(llr);
        if ((double) k11 / (k11 + k12) < (double) k21 / (k21 + k22)) {
            sqrt = -sqrt;
        }
        return sqrt;
    }

    /**
     * Compares two sets of counts to see which items are interestingly over-represented in the first
     * set.
     * @param a  The first counts.
     * @param b  The reference counts.
     * @param maxReturn  The maximum number of items to return.  Use maxReturn >= a.elementSet.size() to return all
     * scores above the threshold.
     * @param threshold  The minimum score for items to be returned.  Use 0 to return all items more common
     * in a than b.  Use -Double.MAX_VALUE (not Double.MIN_VALUE !) to not use a threshold.
     * @return  A list of scored items with their scores.
     */
    public static <T> List<ScoredItem<T>> compareFrequencies(Multiset<T> a, Multiset<T> b, int maxReturn,
            double threshold) {
        int totalA = a.size();
        int totalB = b.size();

        Ordering<ScoredItem<T>> byScoreAscending = new Ordering<ScoredItem<T>>() {
            @Override
            public int compare(ScoredItem<T> tScoredItem, ScoredItem<T> tScoredItem1) {
                return Double.compare(tScoredItem.score, tScoredItem1.score);
            }
        };
        Queue<ScoredItem<T>> best = new PriorityQueue<ScoredItem<T>>(maxReturn + 1, byScoreAscending);

        for (T t : a.elementSet()) {
            compareAndAdd(a, b, maxReturn, threshold, totalA, totalB, best, t);
        }

        // if threshold >= 0 we only iterate through a because anything not there can't be as or more common than in b.
        if (threshold < 0) {
            for (T t : b.elementSet()) {
                // only items missing from a need be scored
                if (a.count(t) == 0) {
                    compareAndAdd(a, b, maxReturn, threshold, totalA, totalB, best, t);
                }
            }
        }

        List<ScoredItem<T>> r = new ArrayList<ScoredItem<T>>(best);
        Collections.sort(r, byScoreAscending.reverse());
        return r;
    }

    private static <T> void compareAndAdd(Multiset<T> a, Multiset<T> b, int maxReturn, double threshold, int totalA,
            int totalB, Queue<ScoredItem<T>> best, T t) {
        int kA = a.count(t);
        int kB = b.count(t);
        double score = rootLogLikelihoodRatio(kA, totalA - kA, kB, totalB - kB);
        if (score >= threshold) {
            ScoredItem<T> x = new ScoredItem<T>(t, score);
            best.add(x);
            while (best.size() > maxReturn) {
                best.poll();
            }
        }
    }

    public static final class ScoredItem<T> {
        private final T item;
        private final double score;

        public ScoredItem(T item, double score) {
            this.item = item;
            this.score = score;
        }

        public double getScore() {
            return score;
        }

        public T getItem() {
            return item;
        }
    }
}